ACTIONABLE DATA FOR HEAT-RESILIENT COMMUNITIES

Governments at all levels have much to do to respond to heat. We are helping governments launch, evaluate, and use data-driven frameworks, tools, networks, and programs to support local heat planning and action.

California Healthy Places Index: Extreme Heat Edition

CURRENT PROJECT(S)

This first-of-its-kind study aims to answer: How did communities of color get disproportionately burdened by extreme heat? In a case study of Watts, Los Angeles — a historically Black neighborhood where temperatures are 4.7°F hotter than the city average — the team is examining how the neighborhood’s microclimate has changed over time to pinpoint what discriminatory interventions contributed to the present-day heat burden.

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Researcher(s): V. Kelly Turner, Mark Vestal, and Bharat Venkat
Funder: UCLA Transdisciplinary Research Acceleration Grant

Communities everywhere are grappling with ways to become more resilient to climate change, which means planning for multiple hazards and factoring in social causes and consequences. UCLA is leading efforts to understand how hotter conditions affect the health and well-being of disadvantaged groups in Corpus Christi, Texas.

Researcher(s): V. Kelly Turner
Funder: National Academy of Sciences via Texas A&M University

In partnership with the LA Regional Collaborative for Climate Action and Sustainability (LARC), Luskin Center for Innovation researchers are helping implement the California Communities Extreme Heat Scoring System (CalHeatScore), a pilot heat ranking system (legislated through AB 2233) that uses public health data on emergency room visits (building on a system created by David Eisenman called UCLA Heat Maps).

Uniquely, the tool links conventional temperature-based heat warning system thresholds to the likelihood of harm. The Luskin Center for Innovation is 1) analyzing and reporting leading heat alert practices from around the world to the state, and 2) supporting LARC in end-user engagement to improve tool implementation.

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Researcher(s): Erin Coutts, V. Kelly Turner, Colleen Callahan, Camille Burrus
Funder: California Office of Land Use and Climate Innovation

In partnership with the UCLA Institute for Environment and Sustainability, the Luskin Center for Innovation is extending our shade equity planning work in Los Angeles and integrating cell phone mobility data to understand where and when people are exposed to heat. We can then overlay other information, such as temperature and shade maps, to better inform decision-making to mitigate heat hazards.

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Researcher(s): Travis Longcore, V. Kelly Turner, Jean Claude Iradukunda, and Sahar Derakhshan
Funder: California Office of Emergency Services and the Federal Emergency Management Agency

Our researchers, in partnership with Arizona State University and the University of Arizona, established the nation’s first Center of Excellence for Heat Resilient Communities. The Center engaged and supported communities in determining the best strategies for local heat mitigation and management while developing public and private investment recommendations. Despite a loss of federal funding, our researchers will serve as senior advisors to the Atlantic Council’s Climate Resilience Center’s continued work with the 15 previously recruited communities.

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Researcher(s): PI V. Kelly Turner (Luskin Center for Innovation), CoPI Sara Meerow (Arizona State University); CoPI Ladd Keith (University of Arizona); Senior Project Manager Trace Lane (Luskin Center for Innovation); and Program Coordinator Zachary Wampler (Luskin Center for Innovation)
Funder: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration originally supported this project.

PUBLISHED RESEARCH

Based on data from our national Shade Map

Researcher(s): Dr. V. Kelly Turner, Lana Zimmerman, and Isaac Buo
Funder: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation

This research brief summarizes the observations of our experts using our national Shade Map, created by the Luskin Center for Innovation and American Forests. The researchers find that 1) most cities lack sufficient shade, 2) trees provide 99% of shade when the sun is directly overhead, but buildings contribute more as the day progresses, and 3) many cities have a significant shade gap between neighborhoods.

Read the research brief

This new tool pinpoints where shade is lacking across 360-plus U.S. cities and towns.

Researcher(s): Dr. V. Kelly Turner, Lana Zimmerman, Isaac Buo, Julia Twichell
Funder: Robert Wood Johnson Foundation

This is the first time communities have an accessible way to see how much shade they have, where it is, and whether it comes from buildings or vegetation. The tool, developed in partnership with American Forests, aims to help federal, state, and local decision-makers identify existing “shade deserts” and prioritize investments to mitigate the impacts of extreme heat.

Visit the map | Learn more

Researcher(s): Sahar Derakhshan, John Dialesandro, V. Kelly Turner & Travis Longcore

Vulnerability to environmental hazards is spatially heterogeneous and dynamic. Static measures that are used to determine spatial heterogeneity in vulnerability are unable to capture temporal dynamics. To complement research on vulnerability to extreme heat, we investigated temporal and spatial trends in availability and use of shade by pedestrians during extreme heat events in a vulnerable neighborhood. Shade from trees and buildings calculated from LiDAR were paired with smartphone locations filtered to include outdoor pedestrians on an hourly basis for control and extreme heat days to study behavioral patterns for neighborhood residents, non-residents, and the unhoused population. High-use pedestrian locations showed little difference in activity between control and extreme heat days, especially during weekdays, but with greater variation on weekends. The results indicate inflexibility in space use, even during extreme heat. Outdoor heat mitigation strategies should consider bringing shade to the people in heavily used locations, as pedestrian behavior is inelastic.

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Researcher(s): C.J. Gabbe, Jamie Suki Chang, Morayo Kamson, and Euichan Seo
Funder: Santa Clara University Environmental Justice and the Common Good Research Grant

In this study, the researchers identified where unhoused residents in Santa Clara County were disproportionately exposed to heat and how they coped. They found that unhoused participants favored staying in places where they had more stability but these locations tended to have less access to shade and water, thus they faced difficult trade-offs.

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A Case Study in Pacoima, California

Researcher(s): V. Kelly Turner, Ariane Middel, Morgan Rogers, Ruth Engel, Florian A. Schneider, and Zachary Van Tol
Funder: Community Partners through the Strategic Growth Council Transformative Climate Communities evaluation funding

This study examines how urban design influences the human experience of heat in Pacoima, a neighborhood in the San Fernando Valley region of Los Angeles. Researchers find the primary factor in reducing heat burden is the availability of shade.

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Researcher(s): V. Kelly Turner, Ruth Engel, and Adam Millard-Ball

Researchers find that the contributions of roads to land surface temperature are not large enough to offset conditions in the areas surrounding them. They also find that trees are the largest contributor to lowering land surface temperature, more so than impervious surface reflectivity.

Read about the announcement | Read the article

Researcher(s): Alan Barreca, R. Jisung Park, and Paul Stainier
Funder: California Strategic Growth Council

This study examines electricity use and disconnection data from 2012–2017. It finds that each additional day with a maximum temperature of 95 °F causes electricity expenses to increase by 1.6%, and the relative risk of disconnection to increase by 1.2%.

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Researcher(s): V. Kelly Turner and Morgan Rogers

This three-page fact sheet provides a visual introduction to the science of urban heat, the causes, and the cures. Metro regions, neighborhoods, and specific sites can be more or less hot because of the way they are built. Understanding what urban land features influence temperature across scales is essential for prescribing the correct intervention.

Check out the factsheet

Researcher(s): C.J. Gabbe, Evan Mallen, and Alexander Varni

The researchers find that households in detached single-family homes have the lowest heat risk and multifamily renters have the highest heat risk. AC availability is a major contributing factor and there are heat risk disparities for households in neighborhoods with larger proportions of Hispanic and Asian residents.

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Researcher(s): Gregory Pierce, C.J. Gabbe, and Annabelle Rosser
Funder: California Strategic Growth Council

This study analyzes the risk of extreme heat and wildfires on households living in manufactured housing, such as mobile homes, in California. The authors find that these households face consistently higher exposure to extreme heat and wildfires.

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Researcher(s): Luskin Center for Innovation and the Public Health Alliance of Southern California researchers

This index is an interactive tool designed to help the state ramp up its efforts to prepare for rising temperatures — visualizing where and who will be most affected, and where decision-makers should target investments.

Use the tool

Researcher(s): R. Jisung Park, Nora Pankratz, and A. Patrick Behrer
Funder: California Strategic Growth Council

This is one of the most comprehensive assessments of temperature on workplace health and safety, and the first assessment of potential implications for labor market inequality. The study finds that workplace injuries linked to heat are significant but extremely undercounted for both indoor and outdoor workers.

Coverage included features in The Guardian, The New York Times, and Los Angeles Times, along with testimony by Professor Park at a U.S. Congressional hearing.

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Researcher(s): C.J. Gabbe and Gregory Pierce
Funder: California Strategic Growth Council

This study examines whether Californians living in subsidized housing are more vulnerable to extreme heat than those living in unsubsidized housing. The researchers find that subsidized housing is disproportionately located in census tracts at the intersection of high projected extreme heat days (in 2040s), heat-sensitive populations, and barriers to adaptation. These findings indicate the need for targeted housing and land use policy interventions to reduce heat vulnerability.

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Researcher(s): Ariane Middel, V. Kelly Turner, Florian Schneider, Yujia Zhang, and Matthew Stiller

Awarded as the best 2020 paper by the Climate Specialty Group of the Association of American Geographers, this study collected the first field temperature measurements of solar reflective pavement. It found that surface temperatures decreased as expected, but human thermal comfort increased midday. It foregrounds the importance of planning context when locating cooling interventions.

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Researcher(s): Joshua Goodman, Michael Hurwitz, R. Jisung Park, and Jonathan Smith

This research, and fact sheetquantifies how cumulative heat exposure affects learning. Without air conditioning (AC), a 1°F hotter school year reduces student learning by 1%. The researchers also identify how school AC can mitigate this effect, and that low-income and minority students have less access to adequate AC, contributing to the racial achievement gap.

This research garnered over 100 media stories including an op-ed in USA Today, and coverage by PBS News, The Washington Post, TalkPoverty, KPCC Radio, ClimateWire, and America Adapts, among many other major outlets.

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Researcher(s): R. Jisung Park

This study provides the first estimates of the impact of hot temperatures on high-stakes exam performance and subsequent educational attainments. Hot days reduce performance by up to 15% and have persistent effects on high school graduate status.

Media coverage: The New York Times, BBC News, The 74 Million, Joongang Ilbo (Korean Daily)

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Researcher(s): Alan Barreca and Jessamyn Schaller

This study links early childbirths to hotter temperatures due to climate change. It received press coverage by CNN, TIME, The Conversation, and USA Today, among others.

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Researcher(s): R. Jisung Park and Patrick Behrer

This national study explores heat-related labor impacts. Findings include that hot temperatures exert a causal negative impact on county-level payroll – reducing payroll by several percentage points in a 2◦C hotter year – with larger impacts in highly exposed industries, such as construction and manufacturing.

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Researcher(s): Alan Barreca, Olivier Deschenes, and Melanie Guldi

In this study, researchers estimated the effects of temperature shocks on birth rates in the U.S. between 1931 and 2010. They found that global warming is making it more difficult for couples to conceive. Specifically, days with a mean temperature above 80°F cause a large decline in birth rates eight to ten months later.

This study was widely cited by the media, including CNN, Reuters, CityLab, and more.

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